On the mark: So how
Filipinos for Obama
got ’em … quite right
 
 
By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
 
 
How OBAMANOS: Filipinos for Obama Movement and their Philippines-America for Obama (Phil-Am for Bam) affiliates got the figures right, on how Democratic President-elect Barack Obama would lead over vanquished Republican challenger John McCain, based on Politico/Real Clear Politics (RCP) and other surveys:
 
 
11% Pennsylvania: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 15%: Quinnipiac University survey before Oct. 2
• 12%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 11%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 13%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 10%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 12%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 14%: Marist poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 10%: Quinnipiac Univ. polls before Nov. 4
  —–
  12%
  ====
 
 
4% Ohio: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 8%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 2
• 4%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 4%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 12%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 14%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 7%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 9%: LA Times/Bloomberg poll before Oct. 29
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 9%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 3%: Marist poll before Oct. 30
• 7%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 7%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Nov. 4
  —–
   8%
  ====
 
 
3% Florida: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 8%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 2
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 3%: Politico/RCP before Oct. 9
• 3%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 7%: St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald survey before Oct. 24
• 5%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 7%: LA Times/Bloomberg poll before Oct. 29
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 2%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 2%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Nov. 4
  —–
  4.5%
  ====
 
 
7% Virginia: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 9%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 5%: Politico/RCP before Oct. 9
• 10%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 8%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 11%: Virginia Commonwealth Univ. survey before Oct. 29
• 9%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 7%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 4%: Marist polls before Nov. 3
  —–
   8%
  ====
 
 
12% Nevada: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 3%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 5%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 4%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 10%: Suffolk University survey before Oct. 29
• 7%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
  —–
  6.4%
  ====
 
 
9% Colorado: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 4%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 8%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 9% AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 6% Marist polls before Nov. 3
  —–
   7%
  ====
 
 
9% Iowa: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 16%: KCCI survey in Des Moines before Oct. 2
• 13%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 10%: Marist Poll before Oct. 29
• 15%: Lee Enterprises survey before Oct. 29
  —–
  13.5%
  ====
 
 
9% New Hampshire: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 11%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 5%: Marist Poll before Oct. 29
• 5%: Boston Globe before Oct. 29
• 18%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
  —–
   10%
  ====
 
 
10% Minnesota: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 11%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 7%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 19%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
  —–
   12%
  ====
 
 
14% Wisconsin: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 8%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 13%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
  —–
  10.5%
  ====
 
 
0.4% North Carolina: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 0.6%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 4%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 6%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
  —–
  3.5%
  ====
 
 
1% Indiana: 5 Nov. final result
 
• 1%: Indianapolis Star/WTHR-TV survey before Nov. 3