November 4, 2008
There's been much talk this year of the Bradley Effect, or the Wilder Effect, or whatever name you want to give to the phenomenon of polls overstating a black candidate's support. It is bound to be one of the things which keeps anxious Democrats up tonight. But, as Harvard's David Hopki...
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International viewers of the US elections will be hoping that the outcome is decided soon. If it is not, some of us will lose any chance of sleep as we suffer for our time zones. With that in mind, I have compiled a list of early-voting states which may foreshadow the eventual results. The polls cl...
go to article »November 2, 2008
Every four years, Republican and Democratic loyalists work themselves to the bone trying to get their Presidential candidate elected. On the decisive night, they stay up late, waiting for the returns and exit polls, offering religious and secular prayers. Millions in America and Europe, myself inclu...
go to article »October 31, 2008
The Obama campaign dominated the airwaves yesterday, using its considerable financial muscle to buy half an hour of prime time programming on most of the major networks (as well as specialty channels like Black Entertainment Television - surely not the best use of resources?) The results can be see...
go to article »October 30, 2008
A week ago, I wrote about the possibility of a Sarah Palin candidacy in 2012. Since then, Palin and those close to her appear to have brought this closer to reality by distancing themselves from John McCain. That makes sense if she wants to continue her ascent through the Republican ranks, because...
go to article »October 28, 2008
A remarkable story has been unfolding (or should that be unraveling?) over the last few days in Pennsylvania. It is the story of Ashley Todd, a local McCain campaign volunteer who on Thursday claimed that she had been mugged by a looming African-American who then spotted her McCain bumper sticker an...
go to article »October 24, 2008
Friends in America tell me that, with an Obama victory continuing to look likely, the chatter on cable news shows has begun to move on to the question of what sort of President he would be. Though this point is often overstated by those on the right, it is true that he is something of an empty book...
go to article »October 21, 2008
Whether or not she becomes Vice President next year, the prospect of a Palin candidacy in 2012 has to be taken seriously. If McCain wins this election, he would be 76 by the end of his first term, possibly too old to run again. Granted, Reagan was 78 when he left office, but his age proved a politi...
go to article »October 20, 2008
Video below. For my part, I find it quite powerful: Powell talks fluidly and with surprising strength of feeling for over five minutes, pausing to tell the story of a Muslim-American who died in the Iraq War to illustrate the inappropriateness of the 'smear' that Obama is a Muslim. Getting ...
go to article »October 17, 2008
Conventional wisdom holds that Americans are more conservative than their European brethren. It is probably partly correct, and Joe the Plumber is a good illustration of this. Despite his claims earlier this week, neither Joe nor the business he wants to acquire make anything close to the $250,...
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